UEFA Euro 2020 odds, picks, predictions: European soccer expert reveals best bets for Italy vs. Spain
It’s a showdown of European giants on Tuesday when Spain and Italy square off in the semifinals of Euro 2020 at Wembley Stadium. Italy has won every game it has played in the tournament, including qualifying, and beat world No. 1 Belgium 2-1 in the quarterfinals. Spain has had an uneven performance, needing extra time to beat Croatia before getting past Switzerland in a shootout in its quarterfinal on Friday. Spain is the seventh-ranked team in the world, while Italy is No. 8, and the Spaniards hold a 12-12-9 edge in the all-time series. The teams play similar styles, with strong middle defenders and pace up front, so it is expected to be a tight battle.
Kickoff from London is set for 3 p.m. ET. Italy is the +140 favorite (risk $100 to win $140) on the 90-minute money line in the latest Italy vs. Spain odds from William Hill Sportsbook, and Spain is the +220 underdog. The over-under for total goals scored is set at 2.5. Before you lock in any Spain vs. Italy picks, check out the Euro 2020 predictions and best bets from SportsLine’s Martin Green.
After working in the sports betting industry for several years, Green became a professional sports writer and handicapper. Since then, his European soccer picks have been spot-on. Green has generated almost $19,000 for $100 bettors since the 2017-18 season. He’s having a great Euro 2020 as well, with his picks generating well over $1,100 in profit for $100 bettors through the quarterfinals. Green has his finger on the pulse of the game all over the globe.
Now, Green has taken an in-depth look at Italy vs. Spain at Euro 2020 and locked in his best bets. You can head to SportsLine now to see his picks. Here are the betting lines and trends for Spain vs. Italy:
Italy vs. Spain spread: Italy -0.5Italy vs. Spain over-under: 2.5 goalsItaly vs. Spain money line: Italy +140, Spain +220, Draw +210ESP: Ferran Torres, 21, has eight goals in 16 matches with the national teamITA: Goalkeeper Gianluigi Donnarumma has 18 clean sheets in 31 international startsWhy you should back Italy
The Azzurri have been rolling for almost three years, extending their unbeaten run to 32 games with the win against Belgium. They last lost in September 2018, a 1-0 setback to Portugal in their fifth game under manager Roberto Mancini. Italy has been held off the score sheet twice since then, while shutting out its opponent 23 times. The nearly impenetrable defense is led by Leonardo Bonucci and Giorgio Chiellini, who have played together at Juventus for a decade. They are backed by Gianluigi Donnarumma, who is one of the world’s best goalkeepers at age 22.
Italy has won 13 in a row, outscoring its foes 36-4, and the Spanish defense will have its hands full. Ciro Immobile and Lorenzo Insigne have been in top form, with each scoring six goals in their last nine games with the national team, and Federico Chiesa’s pace can also present problems. Nicolo Barella and Marco Verratti run the show from their midfield spots, and they have combined for 11 goals and five assists in Italy’s last 14 matches. Italy’s attack could thrive against a Spain squad that has been run ragged through extra time in consecutive games.
Why you should back Spain
Spain has not lost in 13 games (6-7-0), and while La Roja has been uninspired at times, they’ve scored at least five goals in three of those. It handed Germany its worst loss since 1931 when Ferran Torres put up a hat trick in a 6-0 victory in a November Nations League match, and it has 11 goals in its past three games at Euro 2020. Spain is 7-5-2 in the last 14 meetings with Italy, including a 4-0 victory in the 2012 final to win its last Euro title. The Spaniards also should be motivated as they move closer to winning their record fourth European championship to break a tie with Germany.
Torres, Alvaro Morata and Gerard Moreno are all capable scorers up top, and the team is inspired by captain Sergio Busquets, who dictates play from his midfield spot. Spain leads the tournament in possession time (67 percent), pass completion (89.4) and shots on target (39). The 5-3 win against Croatia was the only time during its unbeaten run that it allowed multiple goals. The defense is led by Aymeric Laporte and Pau Torres in the middle, and goalkeeper Unai Simon is brimming with confidence after his huge saves in the shootout with Switzerland.
How to make Spain vs. Italy Euro 2020 picks
Green has analyzed Italy vs. Spain from every possible angle. He leaning over on the goal total (2.5), and he has locked in two best bets. He’s only sharing those picks on SportsLine.
So who wins Italy vs. Spain? And where does all the betting value lie? Visit SportsLine now to see the best bets for Spain vs. Italy, all from the European soccer expert who has generated nearly $19,000 for $100 bettors since the 2017-18 season.